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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+360/-400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -385 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • Tyjae Spears has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 15.2% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 86th percentile for running backs.
  • Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, catching an exceptional 90.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
  • Tyjae Spears has accumulated a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 7th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a dreadful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Tyjae Spears rates as one of the worst receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

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