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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-375).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +315 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +275.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • Tyjae Spears has been in the 80th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 14.3 figure this year.
  • Tyjae Spears checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among running backs, catching a remarkable 88.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • While Tyjae Spears has been responsible for 19.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Tennessee's passing offense near the goal line this week at 12.7%.
  • When talking about air yards, Tyjae Spears ranks in the lowly 6th percentile among running backs this year, with just -8.0 per game.
  • Tyjae Spears grades out in the 1st percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • This year, the formidable Jaguars defense has given up a mere 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-best rate in the league.

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