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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-440).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +365 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in these cases has been the Titans.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • Tyjae Spears has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.5% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Tyjae Spears's 14.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 81st percentile for RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.
  • Tyjae Spears has notched a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.1%) to running backs this year (75.1%).

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