reorder

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-340).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +295 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

Tyjae Spears has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.3% this year, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

While Tyjae Spears has earned 25.0% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Tennessee's rushing attack near the end zone this week at 36.7%.

When it comes to air yards, Tyjae Spears ranks in just the 24th percentile among running backs this year, with just -2.0 per game.

Tyjae Spears's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 91.2% to 87.0%.

Tyjae Spears does not have any receiving touchdowns this year.

More Tyjae Spears Player Props

Tyjae Spears TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11