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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Titans to be the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
  • Among all running backs, Tyjae Spears ranks in the 75th percentile for carries this year, taking on 31.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
  • Tyjae Spears's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 4.65 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.63 figure last season.
  • With an impressive record of 3.27 yards after contact (75th percentile), Tyjae Spears has been among the most efficient running backs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans run defense has allowed a mere 89.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-best in football.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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