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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-215/+166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -215 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • With an extraordinary 9.4% Target% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.
  • With a stellar 2.4 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyjae Spears places among the top running backs in the pass game in the league.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.1%) to running backs this year (87.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Tyjae Spears's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 91.2% to 79.4%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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