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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+137/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 50.7% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Tyjae Spears is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets.
  • With an exceptional 11.5% Target% (90th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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