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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • The model projects Tyjae Spears to total 3.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.5% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears profiles as one of the leading running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.9 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
  • Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, catching an exceptional 90.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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