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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.8 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • This week, Tyjae Spears is predicted by the model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.
  • With a top-tier 11.7% Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears places among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • Tyjae Spears's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a material boost in his receiving skills over last season's 2.5 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) usually cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the 7th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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