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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • With an extraordinary 9.4% Target% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.
  • Tyjae Spears has been one of the leading pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 17.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
  • Tyjae Spears checks in as one of the best running backs in the league at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an impressive 7.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 80th percentile.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.1%) to running backs this year (87.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • As it relates to air yards, Tyjae Spears ranks in the measly 9th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, with just -3.0 per game.
  • Tyjae Spears's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 91.2% to 79.4%.
  • Tyjae Spears's 4.2 adjusted yards per target this year marks a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 6.5 rate.

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