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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-113/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 132.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyjae Spears to accumulate 3.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a top-tier 12.1% Target% (91st percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 22.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
  • Tyjae Spears profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among running backs, catching an impressive 91.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • Tyjae Spears has posted a puny -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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