My Account Log Out
 
 
Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • The model projects Tyjae Spears to total 3.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.5% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • With a fantastic 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (89th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears ranks among the leading pass-catching RBs in the NFL.
  • Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, catching an exceptional 90.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
  • Tyjae Spears has accumulated a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 7th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Tyjae Spears's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.50 rate last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™