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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
  • Tyjae Spears has run a route on 41.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • In this game, Tyjae Spears is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets.
  • With a remarkable 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (91st percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears has been among the best pass-catching running backs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • When it comes to air yards, Tyjae Spears ranks in just the 24th percentile among running backs this year, with just -2.0 per game.
  • Tyjae Spears's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 91.2% to 87.0%.
  • Tyjae Spears's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.50 figure last season.
  • This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has surrendered a measly 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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