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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+730/-830).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -890 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -830.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When talking about air yards, Ty Johnson grades out in the towering 88th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a staggering 3.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • With a terrible rate of only 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (1st percentile), Ty Johnson places among the worst rushing TD-scorers in the league this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has been torched for the 7th-most receiving touchdowns in the league to running backs: 0.29 per game this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Ty Johnson's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 76.0% to 34.2%.
  • Ty Johnson grades out in the 1st percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

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