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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Ty Johnson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 76.1% to 80.2%.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.11 per game through the air (77th percentile), Ty Johnson has been as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (48.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
  • After totaling 12.0 air yards per game last year, Ty Johnson has been a disappointment this year, now boasting -2.0 per game.

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