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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+500/-830).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +510 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • This year, the porous Eagles defense has allowed a staggering 0.27 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 52.3% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (48.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the projections to call only 62.3 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • After accruing 12.0 air yards per game last year, Ty Johnson has undergone a big decline this year, now averaging -2.0 per game.
  • This year, the fierce Eagles defense has conceded a feeble 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the smallest rate in football.

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