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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+490/-770).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +510 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +490.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • This year, the porous Eagles defense has allowed a staggering 0.27 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (48.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After accruing 12.0 air yards per game last year, Ty Johnson has undergone a big decline this year, now averaging -2.0 per game.

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