My Account Log Out
 
 
Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-960).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -910 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -960.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the stout Patriots run defense has given up a measly 0.38 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league in the red zone (47.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After totaling 12.0 air yards per game last year, Ty Johnson has produced significantly less this year, currently pacing -1.0 per game.
  • The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 5th-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.08 per game this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™