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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-540).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +530 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +380.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • This year, the poor Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered a staggering 86.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Bengals defense has been torched for a massive 0.50 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the largest rate in football.
  • The Bengals linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 45.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • After accumulating 12.0 air yards per game last season, Ty Johnson has been a disappointment this season, currently boasting 0.0 per game.

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