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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to run on 44.2% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Ty Johnson's ground effectiveness (5.15 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (89th percentile among running backs).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

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