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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

With an excellent record of 5.49 adjusted yards per carry (91st percentile), Ty Johnson places as one of the best running backs in the league since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Falcons run defense has allowed a paltry 4.77 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 44.0% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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