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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a huge 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Ty Johnson's rushing efficiency (5.59 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (91st percentile when it comes to RBs).

Opposing squads have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (134 per game) against the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills since the start of last season (only 56.0 per game on average).

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