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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 11.5-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 48.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Ty Johnson's rushing effectiveness (5.68 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (91st percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Dolphins run defense has yielded a meager 109.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-best in the league.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Miami's collection of LBs has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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