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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 9th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Ty Johnson's ground efficiency (5.00 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (84th percentile among RBs).
  • The New England Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a very bad record of 2.32 yards after contact (23rd percentile) this year, Ty Johnson places as one of the easiest-to-tackle running backs in the league.
  • This year, the stout New England Patriots run defense has conceded a measly 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the fewest in the NFL.

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