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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Ty Johnson's ground efficiency (5.12 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (87th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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