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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been gouged for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89%) vs. RBs this year (89.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Right now, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Ty Johnson ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, hauling in a measly 74.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 25th percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in football this year with their pass rush.

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