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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Ty Johnson has totaled a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Ty Johnson is positioned as one of the most effective receivers in the league among running backs, averaging a fantastic 10.87 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 96th percentile.

With an impressive 8.84 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Ty Johnson ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs in the NFL in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

Ty Johnson's 5.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 11.0.

Ty Johnson has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (1.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).

More Ty Johnson Player Props

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