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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Ty Johnson's 80.1% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a substantial improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 76.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Ty Johnson has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (-2.0 per game) than he did last season (12.0 per game).
  • Ty Johnson has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
  • Ty Johnson's 8.2 adjusted yards per target this year marks a significant decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 12.3 mark.
  • Ty Johnson's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 9.33 mark last year.

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