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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-136/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Eagles pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against running backs this year, surrendering 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After accruing 12.0 air yards per game last year, Ty Johnson has undergone a big decline this year, now averaging -2.0 per game.
  • Ty Johnson's 11.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 18.0 rate.

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