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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Ty Johnson stands among the best pass-catching RBs in football in the open field.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (42.0) versus RBs this year.
  • The Buccaneers pass defense has shown weak efficiency against running backs this year, yielding 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 51.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • After accumulating 12.0 air yards per game last season, Ty Johnson has produced significantly less this season, now sitting at 0.0 per game.

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