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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

Ty Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a huge 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Saints defensive tackles project as the worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills since the start of last season (only 56.0 per game on average).

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