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T.Y. Hilton

T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
  • T.Y. Hilton has earned a whopping 20.0% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 76th percentile among WRs.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (196.0) to wide receivers this year.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Completion% in football (69.6%) versus WRs this year (69.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects T.Y. Hilton to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense this week (5.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.5% in games he has played).
  • T.Y. Hilton has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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