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Ty Chandler

Ty Chandler Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Ty Chandler Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+840/-2800).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2700 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (63.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Ty Chandler to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game near the end zone in this contest (1.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been last year (11.4% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).
  • When talking about air yards, Ty Chandler grades out in the lowly 24th percentile among running backs last year, totaling just -1.0 per game.
  • Ty Chandler's 2.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the worst in football: 18th percentile for running backs.
  • With an atrocious ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Ty Chandler ranks among the worst receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to running backs last year.

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