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Ty Chandler

Ty Chandler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Ty Chandler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

The opposing side have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (125 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 6th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings since the start of last season (just 56.4 per game on average).

Ty Chandler has been worse at grinding out extra running yardage this year, totaling 1.60 yards-after-contact vs a 2.86 mark last year.

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