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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +480 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 67.9 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast Tutu Atwell to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the goal line in this contest (8.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).
  • This year, the tough Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has surrendered a mere 0.67 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • Tutu Atwell has notched far fewer air yards this season (35.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).
  • Tutu Atwell's 15.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 28.5.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.5%) vs. wideouts this year (57.5%).

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