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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • The predictive model expects Tutu Atwell to be much less involved in his offense's air attack in this game (0.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Tutu Atwell's 0.7 adjusted catches per game this season marks a significant reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 2.7 mark.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.5%) vs. wideouts this year (57.5%).
  • The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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