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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.7 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Tutu Atwell's 5.2% Target Rate this year signifies an impressive drop-off in his air attack workload over last year's 11.0% mark.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Tutu Atwell's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, notching a mere 0.6 adjusted catches compared to 2.7 last year.

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