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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Tutu Atwell to be a more important option in his team's passing attack in this contest (8.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.4% in games he has played).
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.4%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (70.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Tutu Atwell has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (1.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
  • The Colts safeties project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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