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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Tutu Atwell has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this year (4.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.0%).
  • Tutu Atwell has totaled far fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Tutu Atwell's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 35.0 mark.

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