Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Tutu Atwell has been used less as a potential target this season (93.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (40.0%).
Our trusted projections expect Tutu Atwell to accrue 8.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 9th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in football.
The Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the 9th-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.

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