Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
Tutu Atwell has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).

Favors Under

While Tutu Atwell has earned 17.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's offense in this week's game at 12.5%.
Tutu Atwell is positioned as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 7.42 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile when it comes to wideouts
The Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 133.0) versus wide receivers this year.
This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 6.3 yards.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.