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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tucker Kraft Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to air yards, Tucker Kraft grades out in the lofty 79th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a staggering 25.0 per game.
  • Tucker Kraft's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 27.6.
  • Tucker Kraft's 82.4% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a material gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 78.5% mark.
  • Tucker Kraft grades out in the 98th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.75 per game.
  • This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 53.8% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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