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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Tucker Kraft Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 19.0 air yards per game last season, Tucker Kraft has shown good development this season, now averaging 26.0 per game.
  • Tucker Kraft's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 27.6.
  • With a fantastic ratio of 0.57 per game through the air (95th percentile), Tucker Kraft ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.5% red zone run rate.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Tucker Kraft to be a less important option in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (23.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (28.6% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's DT corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

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