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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Tucker Kraft Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -290 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.

Tucker Kraft has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among tight ends.

Tucker Kraft has put up a whopping 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Tucker Kraft's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 78th percentile for tight ends.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a giant 7-point favorite in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.4%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (67.4%).

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