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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tucker Kraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Tucker Kraft is anticipated by the model to slot into the 82nd percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.
  • Tucker Kraft's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 27.6.
  • With a stellar 3.8 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft stands among the best pass-game TEs in the league.
  • Tucker Kraft's 82.4% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a material gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 78.5% mark.
  • This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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