Tucker Kraft Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tucker Kraft

NFL · Player Props

Tucker Kraft

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tucker Kraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Tucker Kraft to earn 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
The leading projections forecast Tucker Kraft to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game this week (14.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.4% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
This year, the daunting New York Giants defense has yielded a meager 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the smallest rate in football.

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