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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense last year: 4th-most in the league.

Tucker Kraft has run a route on 84.8% of his offense's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The predictive model expects Tucker Kraft to garner 5.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

Tucker Kraft ranks in the 77th percentile among tight ends last year with a staggering 7.7% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.1 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers last year (just 55.7 per game on average).

The Lions pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) versus tight ends last year (68.6%).

The Detroit Lions pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.14 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional last year, grading out as the best in the league.

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