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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1400/-5000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1800 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Dolphins.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to throw 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has been one of the leading touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging an impressive 1.43 per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Tua Tagovailoa to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game near the goal line in this week's game (5.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.

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