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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1800/-6250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -6250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The rushing touchdown line reads "0" on the back of Tua Tagovailoa's trading card this year.
  • The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).
  • In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is anticipated by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • While Tua Tagovailoa has earned 0.0% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Miami's run game near the goal line this week at 6.5%.

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