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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2200/-2500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • The rushing TD column reads "0" on the back of Tua Tagovailoa's trading card this year.
  • This year, the anemic Steelers defense has yielded a staggering 1.62 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the largest rate in the league.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.77 per game) vs. the Steelers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 57.5% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 125.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.4 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the predictive model to average the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.3.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the worst in the league this year.

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