My Account Log Out
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-101/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league vs. the Panthers defense since the start of last season (72.7% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).
  • In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is anticipated by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™